NFL betting lines explained
NFL games are usually quoted with three lines, a point spread, a moneyline and a total. They work the same way as in other sports, but NFL scoring in 3s and 7s makes some spreads behave differently, and regular-season games can end in a tie.
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Worked example
To start, the box below is filled in with KC -3 -110. In this starting line Kansas City (KC) is a 3-point favorite at a price of -110. Because 3 is a whole number, the scenarios include a push. The box is editable: type any line, or tap one under the card, and the explanation updates.
KC −3: KC must win by 4 points or more.
What it means
3 points are taken off KC's final score (the favorite gives up points). A win by exactly 3 points is a push and the stake is returned. The other side of this bet is the opponent at +3, which wins on any result other than a 4+ point win for KC.
Scenarios
| If… | KC −3 | Opponent +3 |
|---|---|---|
| KC win by 6 points | Win | Loss |
| KC win by 3 points | Push (stake returned) | Push (stake returned) |
| KC win by 2 points | Loss | Win |
| KC lose by 2 points | Loss | Win |
The numbers
KC −3 −110
- Implied probability
- 52.38%
- Decimal
- 1.91
- American
- −110
- Per 100 staked
- returns 190.91 (profit 90.91)
Watch out for
The spread isn't the price. In KC −3 −110, −3 is the points and −110 is the odds. A minus spread means that team is the favorite.
Learn more: Point spread guide
Common lines to try
Lines the NFL uses
- Point spread:
KC -3means Kansas City has to win by more than 3. A 3-point win is a push. More in the point spread guide. - Moneyline:
KC -150 / BUF +130is a bet on who wins, with no head start. More in the moneyline guide. - Total (over/under):
O/U 44.5is about both teams’ points added together. More in the over/under guide. - Half and quarter lines: spreads and totals for part of the game, such as the first half (1H) or the first quarter (1Q). They’re read the same way, but only count points scored in that part.
The spread and the total usually come with a price on each side, often -110. The
why −110 guide explains that number.
What’s unusual about the NFL
Points come in 3s and 7s
Most NFL scoring comes from field goals (3 points) and touchdowns with the extra point (7 points). Because of that, final margins of 3 and 7 come up often. They’re called key numbers.
So a half point either side of 3 or 7 changes the result of a lot of games. This table shows a Kansas City bet on three nearby spreads.
How nearby spreads settle
| Kansas City result | KC −2.5 | KC −3 | KC −3.5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win by 7 | Win | Win | Win |
| Win by 4 | Win | Win | Win |
| Win by 3 | Win | Push | Loss |
| Win by 2 | Loss | Loss | Loss |
| Tie | Loss | Loss | Loss |
| Lose by 1 | Loss | Loss | Loss |
Only the 3-point win changes between the three lines. In the NFL, that’s one of the most common results.
Overtime and ties
At most sportsbooks, points scored in overtime count toward the spread, the moneyline and the total. Check the house rules for the market you’re reading.
NFL regular-season games can end in a tie if nobody wins in overtime. Playoff games keep going until there’s a winner. If a game does end tied:
- Spread: settled as a margin of 0.
KC -3loses,KC +3wins, and a pick’em (pk) pushes. - Total: settled on the final combined score, like any other game.
- Moneyline: a two-way moneyline is often refunded (settled as a push), but this varies by sportsbook. Some markets list the tie as a third outcome instead. The house rules say which.
Mini glossary
- Hook: the half point on a spread or total.
-3.5is “3 and a hook”. - Key numbers: the margins that come up most often in the NFL, mainly 3 and 7.
- Pick’em (pk): a spread of 0. Whoever wins, wins; a tie pushes.
- 1H / 2H: first-half / second-half lines.
- OT: overtime.
Common misreadings
- −3 and −3.5 are basically the same line.
- They differ on a 3-point win: −3 pushes (stake returned) and −3.5 loses. In the NFL a 3-point margin is a common result, so the half point matters.
- An NFL game can't end level, so ties don't matter.
- Regular-season games can end in a tie after overtime. How each bet is settled then depends on the line and the house rules.
- A first-half line covers the whole game.
- A first-half line only counts points scored in the first two quarters. The final score doesn't matter for it.