Why is it -110? The price on spreads and totals

-110 means you stake 110 to win 100. When both sides of a spread or total are -110, their implied probabilities add up to 104.76%. The 4.76% above 100% is the bookmaker's margin, also called juice or vig.

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Worked example

To start, the box below is filled in with -110 / -110. This starting line is the two sides of a spread or total, both at -110, so its card shows the margin and the fair probabilities. The box is editable: type any line, or tap one under the card, and the explanation updates.

−110 / −110: neither side is favored. Both have the same price.

What it means

A moneyline is a bet on who wins, with no points involved. A bet on Side 1 risks 110 to win 100. A bet on Side 2 risks 110 to win 100.

Scenarios

If…Side 1Side 2
Side 1 winsWinLoss
Side 2 winsLossWin
Tie or drawDepends on house rulesDepends on house rules

On a 2-way moneyline, what happens on a tie or draw depends on the sport and the sportsbook's rules. In boxing, a two-way market (just the two fighters) refunds the stake on a draw. A three-way market that includes the draw loses both fighter bets.

The numbers

Side 1 −110

Implied probability
52.38%
Decimal
1.91
American
−110
Per 100 staked
returns 190.91 (profit 90.91)

Side 2 −110

Implied probability
52.38%
Decimal
1.91
American
−110
Per 100 staked
returns 190.91 (profit 90.91)

Both sides together

Implied probabilities add up to
104.76%
Bookmaker margin
4.76%
Fair probability: Side 1
50.00%
Fair probability: Side 2
50.00%

Margin (overround) = the implied probabilities added together, minus 100%. Fair probabilities remove the margin by dividing each one by that total.

Watch out for

A minus price doesn't mean you lose money. −110 means you stake 110 to win 100, and the 110 comes back too if the bet wins.

Common lines to try

What -110 means

American odds are built around 100. A minus price is what you stake to win 100.

  • Stake 110, win 100, get 210 back in total.
  • Per 100 staked: profit 90.91, total return 190.91.

What each price pays

Odds Profit per 100 staked Total return per 100 Implied probability
−105 95.24 195.24 51.22%
−110 90.91 190.91 52.38%
−115 86.96 186.96 53.49%
−120 83.33 183.33 54.55%

Why both sides are -110

A point spread or total is set so the two sides look roughly even. If both were truly 50/50 with no margin, each would be priced at +100 (evens): stake 100, win 100.

Instead, both are priced at −110. Each side’s implied probability is 110 ÷ 210 = 52.38%. Together that’s 104.76%. The 4.76% above 100% is the bookmaker’s margin, also called the juice or vig (vigorish). Remove it and each side is back to 50.00%.

Implied probability also works as a break-even rate: at −110, a bet has to win 52.38% of the time over many bets just to break even. That’s simply what the price works out to. It isn’t a prediction about any game.

How the price changes the margin

Market Sum Margin
−105 / −105 102.44% 2.44%
−110 / −110 104.76% 4.76%
−115 / −115 106.98% 6.98%
−120 / −120 109.09% 9.09%
−120 / +100 104.55% 4.55%

The last row shows that the two sides don’t have to match. When one side is −120 and the other +100, the line is treating them as not quite even, but the margin is still built in.

Some sites quote hold instead of margin, which gives a smaller number. The glossary explains the difference.

Common misreadings

-110 means you win 110.
It's the other way round. You stake 110 to win 100. Per 100 staked, the profit is 90.91.
-110 means the team is a favorite.
On a spread or total, -110 is just the price. Both sides are often -110. The minus sign on the spread itself (like −4.5) is what marks the favorite.
52.38% is the chance the bet wins.
52.38% is what the price implies, margin included. It says nothing about the game itself.